Military Ballot: The CAQ Loses 5% Help

Nonetheless on the prime, François Legault’s CAQ is dropping feathers amongst voters searching for stronger opposition, a brand new Léger ballot reveals. In Quebec, the place the battle appears to be getting fierce, the conservatives are closing the hole once more.

Provincial voting intentions

41% of the Quebecers would select Legault’s CAQ.

If provincial elections had been held as we speak, which get together would you vote for?

dated June 22, 2022

Different: 3%

“It is actually shifting,” stated pollster Jean-Marc Léger. “There’s a downward motion” [de 5 %] for the KAK. †

Prime Minister Legault, for instance, is not shifting so simply within the course of the “robust mandate” he needs on October 3.

By gathering 41% of the intentions, his coaching is crusing on some unfavorable currents and the CAQ returns to its pre-pandemic help.

Evolution of voting intentions

dated June 22, 2022

It nonetheless dominates amongst French audio system with an enormous 50% help.

In Quebec, there’s a actual “good battle” between the CAQ and the Éric Duhaime conservatives.

For a 3rd consecutive ballot, the right-wing formation narrowed the hole, this time attaining 26% of intents within the area towards 40% for the CAQ.

François Legault, nevertheless, obtained 51% help there in April. “There’s a ripple impact,” says Mr. Military.

This sound confirms that Quebecers have “modified their minds” and that 57% of them are on the lookout for stronger opposition.

“Folks need the CAQ to not stand alone […] They do not need a robust majority,” he analyzes.

Wrestle of the Opposition

Nonetheless, no opposition is making important beneficial properties. The opposite events nearly all get one additional level.

Based on him, it’s “shifting”, however for the reason that opposition is scattered, the impact can solely be a discount of the overwhelming majority projected for the CAQ.

The battle for official opposition standing takes form between Québec Solidaire and the Liberals. “The marketing campaign is the wrestle of the opposition,” emphasizes Jean-Marc Léger.

Attention-grabbing reality, 27% of individuals are satisfied that the solidarity Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois will sooner or later be Prime Minister.

Satisfaction with the Legault Authorities

Are you very glad, considerably glad, considerably dissatisfied or very dissatisfied with the Quebec authorities led by François Legault?

dated June 22, 2022

Examine the earlier consequence

The arrival of Drainville

The autumn within the CAQ additionally happens after the arrival of star candidates, with a sovereign previous, Bernard Drainville and Caroline St-Hilaire.

Which means of Opposition

Is it vital or not that there’s robust opposition to the CAQ being elected within the subsequent Quebec election if it comes again to energy?

dated June 22, 2022

These bulletins had no optimistic impact on voting intentions, the pollster famous.

He says defectors at all times have extra bother getting elected.

Greatest resistance to the CAQ

23% of the Quebecers would select Québec Solidaire.

Which of the 4 primary opposition events do you assume will have the ability to present the most effective opposition to the CAQ when it comes again to energy?

dated June 22, 2022

Do not know / Refusal: 27%

Based on Jean-Marc Léger, residents are primarily involved about their wallets and the inflation disaster. “It is a return to regular,” he stated.

The CAQ could be the most effective authorities to take care of a recession, stated 40% of these polled.

Opinion of defectors

Do you roughly vote for a candidate who has modified political get together or do you not care?

dated June 22, 2022

tax aid

Additionally they consider {that a} tax reduce could be the precise measure to deal with inflation and the price of dwelling, giving an edge to Dominique Anglade’s liberals, who’ve already made a pledge.

“Folks need options,” says Léger. “Along with one other $500, the Legault authorities is required to vow a tax reduce or it is going to be overtaken by the Liberal Social gathering. †

However regardless of all of the Liberal chief’s efforts to revive her picture to the voters, particularly amongst non-Francophones, she struggles to climb the incline.

In the meantime, the Conservatives persuade 22% of Anglophones.

sovereignty of Quebec

If there have been a referendum on Quebec’s sovereignty, would you vote or would you vote FOR or AGAINST Quebec’s sovereignty?

dated June 22, 2022

Examine the totally different events

Shock on the CAQ

The ballot additionally measured the patriotic temper of Quebecers, in response to the political formation they vote for.

On the CAQ, 43% of voters would vote for sovereignty in a referendum and 42% towards.

“Ultimately there shall be a constitutional debate on the CAQ,” predicts Mr. Military.

Higher counter a attainable recession

40% of the Quebecers would select Legault’s CAQ.

Which of the political events is most competent to face a possible recession in Quebec? Is the…

dated June 22, 2022

Different: 30%

Amongst solidarity supporters, solely 39% help sovereignty.

For its half, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s Parti Québécois is “turning into widespread once more”, notes the pollster.

He stands out because the second hottest alternative amongst many citizens.

Firmness of the choice

Is your alternative at provincial degree ultimate or are you continue to interested by it?

dated June 22, 2022

Second alternative

17% of the Quebecers would select the Parti Québécois.

Which of the next provincial political events could be your 2nd alternative?

dated June 22, 2022

Different: 9%

Motivation to vote

Are you going to vote within the subsequent Quebec elections?

dated June 22, 2022

In all probability not / Positively not


Pricey Prime Minister of Quebec

43% of the Quebecers would select François Legault.

Which of the next provincial political get together leaders would develop into Quebec’s greatest prime minister?

dated June 22, 2022






Nadeau Dubois




Paul Saint Pierre

Do not know / Refusal: 24%

Potential future prime minister

Do you assume the leaders of the following opposition events will sooner or later, even in a number of years’ time, develop into prime minister of Quebec?

dated June 22, 2022


Leger’s net survey was carried out from June 17 to 19, 2022 of 1,041 Quebecers ages 18 and older. The utmost margin of error is plus or minus 3%, 19 instances out of 20.

Do you additionally wish to fill out surveys? Join LEO, Leger’s panel:

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